Kwi-ingxelo ngolwesine, ngodisemba, Isivietnamese langaphandle kubulungiseleli isithethi Le Hai Binh wathi ukuba Hanoi sele wabuza Osisigxina Inkundla Arbitration ngomhla Hague ukuthatha Vietnam ke isemthethweni umdla kwaye amalungelo kwi kwesigqibo xa ukuhlolwa ubungqina kwi-Persia meko ngokuchasene China emzantsi Afrika ne-China Yolwandle phantsi UN Convention on Umthetho Zolwandle ngu (UNCLOS) compulsory imbambano ndlela. Ingaba Vietnam ngenene ukulandela Persia' indlela yi-ezama ngamazwe arbitration
Ngaba oko kuthetha ukuba kukho consensus kwi-Vietnam Politburo kwi lo mba.
Vietnam sele ezenziwe sesi sibini a kulandelwe ingxelo enomdla kunye Osisigxina Inkundla Arbitration (PCA). Oku ingxelo ayikho"ingxelo ye-ibango"njengoko eyenziwe Persia ngojanuwari kodwa ingxelo enomdla kwi-China-Persia ityala phambi arbitral abachopheli-matyala. Wawo ingxelo Vietnam acknowledged ukuba PCA sele kolawulo lwesixeko phezu Persia' ityala. Vietnam wabuza ukuba PCA thatha meko ngenxa yayo amalungelo umdla. Kwaye Vietnam asivunywanga China ke isithoba-dash umgca njengoko ekubeni akukho isemthethweni qho. Zontathu amanqaku eme indawo kwi-China ke nje bakhululwe indawo iphepha oweza ngaphandle iintsuku ezimbini emva Vietnam ezenziwe sesi sibini. Ngo expressing inzala yayo kwimeko Vietnam ayikho ukungenela i-Persia kwi-ethabatha isemthethweni intshukumo ngokuchasene ne-China. Kodwa Vietnam ke ingxelo inzala iya kuba iqaphele yi-arbitrators ne-China Persia meko. Oku kuya kuba ukusebenza ka-ukukhulisa - nangona kunjalo ngocoselelo - ukubaluleka le meko. Ngamanye amazwi nangona kunjalo ngumqondiso phakathi kwala mazwe mabini mba, isihlalo ye-arbitrators kufuneka lithathele ingqalelo izinto ezichaphazela amanye amaqela sifuna kuchatshazelwa yi-sikazwelonke. Ibe kusenokwenzeka ukuba yi-filing a ingxelo enomdla ukuba Arbitral Isigqeba ayikwazi mema Vietnam ukwenza ntetho yayo amalungelo umdla. Ngamanye amazwi, Vietnam unako ukwenza yayo isemthethweni meko"ngokuthi emva ucango."Kukho mixed iingxelo malunga isemthethweni intshukumo ukuba Vietnam waba ucwangciso ukuthatha. Oko lodged yayo ingxelo enomdla kwi-disemba ezintlanu (coincidently kwangaloo mini U.S. Karhulumente Isebe bakhululwe yayo ingxelo, Imida kwi-Seas) Rumors zithe flying jikelele diplomatic uluntu ukuba Vietnam waba ilungiselelwe ukuthatha stronger isemthethweni intshukumo kwaye advised yayo vala abahlobo ngokufanelekileyo. Ngomzuzu wokugqibela, ukuba ezi rumors zichanekile, Vietnam bakhetha le minimalist khetho.
Ngokunxulumene diplomatic imithombo China kokuba intended ukuba ukhuphe indawo yayo iphepha jikelele mid-nyanga, kodwa bakhululwe yayo iphepha kwi-disemba ezisixhenxe ekuphenduleni Vietnam ke iintshukumo.
Vietnam ke iintshukumo kuthatha indawo kwi-eva wemiba ebalulekileyo oweshumi plenum ye-Vietnam Communist Iqela ke Central Ikomiti, esibizwa ekuqaleni scheduled kuba disemba, kodwa ngoku postponed ukuba kusekutsha kweyomqungu ngowama. Vietnam ke isemthethweni iintshukumo iya kuba aimed e mollifying yayo domestic oko. Ezi oko alinakukhuselwa ngokupheleleyo uvuma kodwa iya kuba heartened ngesi senzo. I-Central Ikomiti ngokunjalo kuya kufuneka ukuba temper nokuba urge amalungu ayo abe harbor malunga ethabatha isemthethweni intshukumo ngokuchasene ne-China. Baya kuba ukwamkela kwaye yiya ihamba kunye kukarhulumente isigqibo. I-ukalisho lwexesha Vietnam shenxisa, esiza ngomhla Urhulumente Isebe bakhululwe yayo emfutshane kwi Imida Kwi-Seas, kwiintsuku ezimbini phambi ukukhutshwa China ke indawo iphepha, ayikwazanga zithe ngakumbi propitious. Ezi ziganeko, xa wathathwa wonke, kubonakala ukuba abe ukukhulisa le salience komthetho wamazwe ngamazwe njengokuba uthetha ka-ukulawula Afrika ne-China Yolwandle territorial disputes. China ayisayi kuba ndonwabe kungenxa yokuba esihogweni mbindini ngomhla we-yokufumana arbitral isigqeba ukuba kuyala Persia' ityala. Ugq Carlyle E Thayer ngu Emeritus Unjingalwazi e Yesikolo ka-Humanities kunye Namaqonga Sciences, Ngezifundo ka-Enew South Wales ngomhla Australian Wokhuselo Academy kwi-Brisbane, e-Australia. Funda ngakumbi ngo Unjingalwazi Thayer apha.
